Sales Forecast: Japan's new vehicle market: prospects to 2015
Date published: Wednesday, October 05, 2011
Description
In 2010 Japan was the world’s third largest market for motor vehicles (cars, trucks and buses) behind China and the USA. In production terms, Japan was the second largest, behind China.
The level of car ownership in Japan, at 458 cars per 1,000 people in 2010 is lower than in the US and most other major advanced economies. The high cost of motoring is a major reason for this and the low levels of car ownership in major cities is also significant.
The Japanese market for cars and commercial vehicles is poised to emerge from a particularly unsettled period. It fell relatively sharply in 2008 and 2009, began to recover (helped by incentives and subsidies) in 2010 then demand plummeted in the wake of the natural disaster in March 2011.
This three-part report provides:
- Socio-political and macro-economic data, as well a historic overview of the country and a summary of the country’s vehicle market.
- Examination of the passenger and commercial vehicle markets in 2010, with insight into the prospects for these markets.
- Historical data from 2006, with a forecast to 2015.
Table of contents:
Executive summary
Introduction
Chapter 1: Country profile
Overview and history
Chapter 2: Automotive sector & transport overview
Transport statistics
Parc characteristics
Chapter 3: The Japanese passenger car market
The Japanese car market in 2010
Car sales to date 2011 (Jan-August)
Incentives
Segments
Market shares and best-selling brands/models
Effects of the Tohuku earthquake
Car market forecasts
Chapter 4: The Japanese commercial vehicle market
Introduction
Market characteristics
The market in 2010
Commercial vehicle market forecasts
Longer-term forecast
Chapter 5: Market forecasts
New registrations (000’s)
Market share %
Appendix 1: Definitions
Appendix 2: Emissions standards
Appendix 3: forecasting passenger cars - methodology
Appendix 4: forecasting CVs - methodology
Long Term Developments
Freight demand
Existing capacity
Data availability
